Wednesday, January 28, 2026

Inexorably The Doomsday Clock Marches On

 

According to the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists on 27th January 2026 the clock was adjusted by four seconds and now stands at 85 seconds to midnight.

The below is reposted from SOYMB 4th August, 2025. It’s titled ‘How many seconds to midnight?’

In the August 1914 issue of the Socialist Standard these words appeared,

A writer in the “Daily Chronicle” (29/7/14) outlining the probable results of the threatened war says:

Let us all, whatever our party, stand together and do what we can to avert this coming disaster."

Tom Sala

https://socialiststandardmyspace.blogspot.com/search/label/August%201914

On  the 4th August 1914 Britain declared war on Germany. Unfortunately, the propaganda machine of many states ensured that the various national working classes of many countries went out and for the next four years engaged in industrial slaughter of each other on behalf of their capitalist masters.

The total number of military and civilian casualties in World War I was about 40 million, with estimates ranging from around 15 to 22 million deaths and about 23 million wounded military personnel, ranking it among the deadliest conflicts in human history. The total number of deaths includes between 9 and 11 million military personnel, with an estimated civilian death toll of about 6 to 13 million.

Of the 60 million European military personnel who were mobilised from 1914 to 1918, an estimated 8 million were killed, 7 million were permanently disabled, and 15 million were seriously injured. Germany lost 15.1% of its active male population, Austria-Hungary lost 17.1%, and France lost 10.5%. The human cost of the war left the world with millions of casualties prompting leaders to create new memorials for the deceased.’

Internet’s response to the question of casualties.

Later in the twentieth century, capitalism repeated its deadly game. Following the end of the second lethal conflict there continued to be almost permanent ‘minor’ conflicts up to the present day. ‘Minor’ being a relative term given the events that occurred in places like Vietnam and West Asia.

We are presently in a situation where a bellicose and belligerent USA, supported by Western European countries, is threatening to go to war with another nuclear power state.

Followowing on from  SOYMB https://socialismoryourmoneyback.blogspot.com/2025/07/three-generals.html

we now have another American General, Alexus G. Grynkewich, NATO Supreme Commander, issuing war-ridden statements that in a rational twenty first society should have mental health professionals treating him for articulating delusions, shared by many in various positions of power, that, if translated into actions would have devastating consequences for the whole of the world.

Upon reflection we have perhaps been too unkind to this General. Our comments are more apposite when applied to the present President of the United States.

Grynkewich says that by 2027 Russia could attack Europe whilst in coordination China could launch military action in the Pacific.

The report says that he, ‘emphasised the need for closer military collaboration with industry and the need for companies to develop systems at a faster paceGrynkewich said a key focus for him also will be making sure that NATO allies are keeping up with recent pledges to increase defence spending to 5% of gross domestic product and that those increased investments are directed toward the right military priorities.

Time is of the essence, and I intend to keep highlighting that and letting everyone know that we’ve got to move out and we’ve got to move quickly,” he said.’

https://www.legion.org/information-center/news/security/2025/july/top-us-commander-in-europe-nato-must-be-ready-for-two-front-conflict-with-russia-and-china

One wonders if he, and the previous three Generals referenced have ever read Major General Smedley Darlington Butler’s ‘War is a Racket’ where he says he eventually realised that he had been used as a racketeer on behalf of capitalism..

In response to a ‘mean tweet’ from Dmitry Medvedev a former President of Russia Donald Trump has announced the moving of two American nuclear submarines closer to Russia.

Ohio-class submarine: A class of nuclear-powered submarines used by the United States Navy, consisting of 18 vessels in total, including 14 ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs) and four guided missile submarines (SSGNs) converted from the original SSBNs These submarines are the largest ever built for the U.S. Navy, measuring 560 feet (170 meters) in length and displacing 18,750 tons when submerged They form the sea-based leg of the U.S. nuclear triad, providing a secure second-strike capability and carrying approximately half of the U.S. active strategic thermonuclear warheads The SSBNs are armed with up to 20 Trident II D5 submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), each capable of delivering multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRVs) with a range exceeding 6,100 nautical miles . The four SSGNs, following conversion, can carry up to 154 Tomahawk cruise missiles and support special operations forces, including up to 66 Navy SEALs. Internet.

Launch time from submarine to impact in Russia, twenty minutes.

Medvedev reminded Trump of Russia’s ‘Dead Hand’ system.

Russia's "Dead Hand," officially known as the Perimeter system, is a Cold War-era automatic or semi-automatic nuclear weapons control system developed by the Soviet Union to ensure a retaliatory nuclear strike even if the country's leadership was destroyed in a first strike. The system is designed to detect a nuclear attack through seismic, radiation, light, and pressure sensors, and if communication links with top military command are severed, it can initiate the launch of Russia's intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs). The system is reportedly activated during times of crisis and is said to be capable of sending launch orders via command rockets flying over the country, even in the presence of radio jamming. While some sources suggest it operates fully automatically, more recent accounts indicate it is likely semi-automatic, requiring some level of human approval after activation.

The system's core is believed to be located in deep underground bunkers south of Moscow and at backup sites. It was reportedly brought online in 1985 and remains in use by the Russian Federation. The system is a key component of the doctrine of mutually assured destruction, ensuring a retaliatory response to a decapitating strike. Despite some scepticism about its existence and functionality, Russian officials have confirmed its existence, with General Sergey Karakaev stating in 2011 that the U.S. could be destroyed in 30 minutes if the system were activated. The system has been reported to be upgraded to include radar early warning systems and Russia's new hypersonic missiles.’ Internet.

As of January 2025 the Doomsday Clock- Bulletin of Atomic Scientists is set at eighty nine seconds. What will it perceived to be on its next reset?

Capitalism, more than it has ever done, represents an existential threat to every man, woman and child on the planet.

The words from the August 1914 Socialist Standard are more relevant than ever., ‘perhaps the working classes, hitherto so loyal and patriotic, will turn savagely against the powers that be.’

How much longer before we all recognise where our collective interest lies and we abolish capitalism for ever before capitalism abolishes us?






Socialist Sonnet No. 220

Demagogue

 

It all sounds like hubris, vainglorious

Bluster, rantings of megalomania,

Domination via the media,

As if there is nothing left to discuss.

A tsunami of personality

Surging around the world, inundating

With a flood of words beyond debating,

Such is the depth of this banality.

Afraid of drowning, there are those who try

To swim against the tide, but distracted

By their efforts, they are misdirected

From all that is unobserved floating by.

Judgement saturated by anger and dread,

Becomes unaware of what’s not being said.

 

D. A.

Sunday, January 25, 2026

Leaders are no good

 

In the Green Party’s Party Political Broadcast of 22nd January its new eco-populist leader Zach Polanski ran through the various problems people face. He pointed out that most of the wealth we create ends up in the pockets of the super-rich. He observed, “This isn’t just an economic failure. It’s a failure of leadership. The people we elected choose to serve the wealthy. And, yes, that is obscene. Good leaders put people before profit”. 
In other words, vote for me and the Green Party and we’ll be good leaders. Oh yes?
He couldn’t be more wrong. The people workers elect don’t choose to serve the wealthy. The nature of capitalism, as a profit-making system that can only work for the profit-takers, obliges them to do this. That’s what’s obscene. The system — the organ-grinder not the monkeys.
Replacing them with “good leaders” who want to do good  won’t change things. They, too, would end up having to serve the wealthy.
What is needed is not a change of leaders, but to realise that no leader can do anything for us. What is needed is to understand that capitalism just cannot be changed to work for us. What is needed is to organise ourselves and act together to end capitalism. What is needed is to do it for ourselves without leaders of any kind.

Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Socialist Sonnet No. 219

Security

 

More guns, bigger bombs, longer range missiles,

Thicker armour, smarter drones, firm allies,

Control of the land, the oceans, the skies,

Compliant nation of bellumophiles,

A leader blessed with infallibility,

Martialled prelates to assure the laity

That they have conscripted the deity;

Add political instability.

Meanwhile the bottom-liners try to gauge

Where the rarest rare earth minerals lie,

The cost/benefit of those who will die

And the profits to be made from carnage.

Behind rhetoric, where’s the surety?

Only real change can secure security.

 

D. A.

Donnie dear, don’t press that!

 Donald Trump comes across as a spoilt, narcissistic child who demands and gets other people’s toys (eg Maria Machado’s own Nobel Peace Prize). He sulkily told the Norwegian prime minister that, since they didn’t give him the peace prize, he won’t bother to prioritise peace. His demand for Greenland – another toy – has caused a geopolitical crisis.

Is this Kissinger-like Great Power brinkmanship, or deranged MAGA swagger? Capitalism is a dangerous world ‘order’ even when its leaders act like responsible adults. Right now, America’s nuclear button is under the finger of someone who seems divorced from reality and isolated inside a bubble of toadying sycophants. Totalitarian despots and wannabes can barely contain their glee. What could possibly go wrong?

Saturday, January 17, 2026

Something in the air


Air pollution causes health problems, especially for those with heart or lung conditions. Recent research has shown that it may also be a contributing factor in dementia. There is a statistically-significant association between dementia and pollutants such as soot (e.g. from car exhausts) and nitrogen dioxide (from burning fossil fuels), possibly via inflammation in the brain.

Dementia currently affects over 57 million people worldwide, a number expected to almost triple in the next twenty years. There are causes other than air pollution, but making the air cleaner would be one way of reducing this unpleasant disease.

And yet we know that capitalists treat pollution as an ‘externality’, and preventable illnesses matter far less than healthy profits.


https://www.worldsocialism.org/spgb/

Thursday, January 15, 2026

Can't pay, can't stay


In the USA ‘Foreclosures — when a bank or lender takes back a home after missed mortgage payments — rose 14 percent from a year earlier.

In total, 367,460 US properties faced foreclosure filings in 2025, meaning they were in some stage of being taken over by a lender, according to ATTOM's data.

Indeed, the outlook for the housing market — and the wider economy — is increasingly bleak. In total, the US added only around 584,000 jobs in 2025, making it the weakest year for job growth outside a recession since 2003. 

As foreclosures rise, neighbourhoods are flooded with discounted, bank-owned homes, dragging down nearby property values. For homeowners, that often means losing equity simply because of where they live. A surge in foreclosure filings are a symptom of deeper financial problems: homeowners squeezed by higher taxes and interest costs are falling behind, as they fail to pay other debts, such as credit cards and car loans, as well.’ Mail Online.

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/real-estate/article-15464081/banks-seize-homes-foreclosures.html

The below is from the Socialist Standard August 2020

‘Decent, functional and even beautiful living accommodation is unarguably one of humanity’s prime needs. It is the one prime need in fact that, more than any other, save food and water, is vitally conducive to harmonious and pleasant living at all. Conversely, the lack of it is almost always a cause of misery, meanness and domestic strife. The question of housing allocation in a socialist society is therefore by no means a novel one, and has been discussed and debated for a very long time. That old Fabian fraud George Bernard Shaw, for example, once said that he was often asked who would live in the big house on the hill in this socialist society of his, and Bernard Shaw’s ever-ready response was ‘The same as now, whoever can afford to live there will’.


We beg to differ. All of what we say below notwithstanding, if there is one certain fact concerning life in a future socialist society that we can predict, it’s that how much money you have will most definitely not be the deciding criterion that determines where you live. There won’t be any money for a start – bits of colourful paper, or, more so these days, numbers on a computer screen, that denote how deserving you are of living decently as a human being.

Shaw’s solution to capitalism’s housing problem, like that of the other 56 pseudo-brands of ‘socialism’, was simply an ill-thought out version of reformed capitalism, inexorably welded to and determined and dictated by the market for houses. In socialism, there won’t be any market for houses. Shaw’s ‘solution’ was, bizarrely, simply predicated on the continuing existence of the very cause of the housing problem in the first place.

But, to be fair to him as much as possible, Shaw’s non-solution of reforming capitalism in such a way as to solve the housing problem, has been practically everybody else’s non-solution too. Long before Shaw was preaching his illogical nonsense, one of the pioneers of socialist ideas, the co-author and life-long friend of Karl Marx, Frederick Engels, wrote a short series of articles entitled The Housing Question. Engels was writing in the mid-Victorian period, a time when the ‘success‘ of British capitalism was at its height and yet, a time also, when the housing conditions of the working class were especially miserable, unspeakably wretched and degrading. Needless to say, then as now, all manner of reformist nostrums were proposed by a whole range of political activists; from followers of the French anarchist Proudhon, who advocated that every worker within existing capitalism should have their own little private property dwelling, bought on the ‘never, never’, to representatives of the capitalists themselves, with their ‘factory-provided houses’ abominations. These, needless-to-say, were not only factory-provided, but factory-owned and job dependent, with all of the horrors of job loss and consequent eviction that were entailed. Indeed, in criticising these proposed multi-various reforms, Engels’ work is almost entirely devoted to dealing with the ways and means of how not to solve the housing question.

Not a problem of housing

As a matter of fact, as Engels explained repeatedly, the real issue is not at all a ‘housing’ problem – that is, a shortage of labour power or a dearth of nature-given materials that are necessary to provide everyone in society with housing accommodation commensurate with their needs – but a capitalism problem. Deal with the real issue of capitalism’s general diktat of production for profit, and the housing question, like every other misnamed ‘problem’ in capitalism, will solve itself. It is the only concrete solution to the problem of lack of housing, the inferior quality of housing and the location of housing. If there is any other solution, apart from the common ownership of resources proposed by the Socialist Party, it has never been revealed. All we hear today, from Housing Associations, charities and political parties are mere echoes of the ideas and social quackery that Engels exposed and lambasted as absurd nonsense 150 years ago.

Having stated the general solution to the housing ‘problem’ we are invariably questioned as to how the solution of common ownership will work in practice. Socialist society will undoubtedly require administration at a local level, a regional level and even a world-wide level. How this administration is organised and functions will be a matter for the inhabitants of socialism. What decisions these socialist bodies take, and how they will be implemented and even enforced if necessary, will be entirely up to them. That goes without saying. Although we refrain from crystal ball-gazing, we can, of course, make some general points as to what might happen in regard to housing provision in socialism. There are two things, we would imagine, a socialist society will want to deal with immediately. The first is the homeless problem.

For the first time ever, a problem that has been grappled with constantly in all modern societies, that has been discussed ad nauseam, fought over, lied about, written about endlessly, and thousands of charities and other organisations have done to death for as long as capitalism has existed , will at last be capable of solution. The administrative bodies in a socialist society will know best at the time how to do this.

The second task will be to look at the existing occupied housing stock, its condition and the needs of its occupiers, with a view to rehousing those in the worst of circumstances immediately. Again, decisions will need to be taken by socialism’s representative bodies over how best to implement this aim.

As a party, we have never claimed to be in possession of ready-made solutions for each and every question that the future socialist society will need to take up. Nor would it be sensible or desirable for us to do so. In regard to housing alone, the actual considerations and requirements are seemingly inexhaustible. The production and transportation of bricks, copper piping, slates, sand, cement, glass, wooden batons, joists and fencing, to name but a few of the most obvious that spring to mind, are each a major operation in themselves. Plumbers, electricians, roofers, bricklayers, joiners, glaziers and gardeners, will all need to be coordinated. Further, surveying, land availability, planning, road traffic considerations, amenities provision, public transport, again to name only those that readily spring to mind, give an additional idea of the complexities involved. It is absurd to suggest that we living today should make concrete plans for all this.

Likewise, the number of people involved in existing professions that are tied economically (and are mostly useless, with little or no connection to the actual construction of buildings) to housing in capitalism, that will be unleashed by socialism’s construction for use economy, run into the tens of millions. Our pamphlet From Capitalism to Socialism, lists over 70 of these professions themselves. And that’s only in regard to housing. The number of people engaged in useless jobs in capitalism generally and not connected with housing but who would be available to be deployed in that area where required is astronomical.

We don’t know

How will socialist society allocate Shaw’s big house on the hill? Our answer is, and can only be, we have no blueprint. It will be up to the inhabitants of socialism to decide ‘who gets what’. More importantly, even if such a question is legitimate, it certainly has no significant bearing on the case for socialism that we argue in the present.

However, such questions can be useful in one sense, for they highlight the chief difficulty of prediction: why should we assume that the social norms of today will be exactly those of the future? Certainly, there is no reason to believe that the attitudes of those living in an entirely different type of society will be exactly the same as today. To expect the norms of life in capitalism as it exists now to remain exactly the same as when there are, for example, a billion socialists, is naive enough. To expect a socialist society to be, in the first place, established on the notions and ideas of capitalism, and even more unlikely, remain completely static, is patently absurd and flies in the face of all past human experience.

Is it likely that people in a future socialist society will have the same desires, concerns, views, needs, aspirations or requirements that we find so ‘natural’ and indispensable in capitalism today? No matter how rigid and seemingly set in stone they appear now, it is absolutely certain that our present concerns for property ownership, for big houses, for big cars, for the baubles and trinkets so beloved of capitalism’s apologists, and in a nutshell, a concern for ‘who gets what’, will be simply looked upon with astonishment and incredulity and, eventually, intense curiosity.

Is such a belief in the possibility of such a profound change taking place idealistic or utopian? The history of a mere couple of decades or so tells us no. Not even the imaginative genius of Oscar Wilde could have ever dreamed of such an utterly unimaginable event as two men getting married – to each other! Think about that and consider the extraordinary change in attitude that has taken place in such a short historical time span, so that, apart from a small minority of religious bigots, no one bats an eyelid at what once was, barely yesterday in historical terms, such an inconceivable proposition as to be simply dismissed out of hand by practically every human being on the planet. Yet now it is widespread and the ‘norm’.

But to speculate, perhaps, in the immediate aftermath of the transition from capitalism to socialism, as a start, the inhabitants of socialism will decide, after making adequate provision for the existing occupants, to agree a list of the 500 (1000? 2000? 5000?) biggest and most beautiful private dwelling buildings in a metropolis such as London. Perhaps they will then decide to convert 100 into havens for the mentally ill, 100 into centres for the care and healing of victims of sexual abuse, 100 into centres for the study and treatment of those suffering from seemingly uncontrollable and socially harmful sexual urges, and 100 into recuperation centres for those suffering the effects of being incarcerated under capitalism for crimes against property.

Perhaps also, in an advanced socialist society of 20 years standing, when most or all of these problems have been eradicated, the majority of the very same buildings will, one by one, be simply left to run themselves as examples of by-gone notions of desirable (or even undesirable) architecture, with accommodation upstairs for those who want to preserve and protect them. The point is, we simply cannot predict what will happen.

How will socialist society come into ‘possession’ of these buildings? Again, we don’t know. Is it possible that they will be simply requisitioned for the use of everyone? Absolutely. After all, to describe the matter bluntly, the capitalist revolutions of the past were to privatise the earth and everything in it and on it, to proclaim the rights of private property and to convert it into the ownership of a few.

A socialist revolution will be aimed at taking the property back we have created, taking it out of the hands of a parasitic few and to place it at the disposal of society. That is what a socialist revolution is.

How the inhabitants of a future socialist society will act, what their priorities will be, and what is important and desirable for them, can be safely left to them to decide.

What happens to an insignificant number of ‘more desirable than others’ buildings is only one aspect of the matter, and by far the least important. The question of housing provision in general, both now – as in the lack of it – and the potential that socialism will undoubtedly open up, is far more important.

To make glib, possibly well-intentioned – though usually ultimately utterly futile – proposals to deal with housing problems in capitalism’s restrictive profit-driven market for houses is one thing; to deal with the necessity to provide healthy, decent, and even – a purely subjective opinion, of course, beautiful – living accommodation in socialism’s production for use on the basis of a free access economic system, is quite another.

We would make it abundantly clear again, in any discussion of how a socialist society will deal with the general allocation of housing, that we cannot speak for a future society in regard to what decisions will be necessary in the construction or location or provision or allocation of housing – any more so than we can on the future prospects for harmonicas or hairnets.

Our only concern at present is to drive home the necessity for the one over-riding solution to the problems of capitalism and that is socialism. This will create the only possible basis for solving the so-called housing problem. And this, as we say repeatedly, for the simple reason that it isn’t a problem at all, but merely a consequence of the artificial scarcity in housing created by capitalism’s disgraceful and disgusting inherent drive for profit. Socialism will unleash the tremendous construction capability necessary so that we can begin practical steps towards not only solving issues like homelessness and slum-dwelling, but constructing beautiful housing accommodation – we are, after all, admirers of the ideas of the early Marxist William Morris – so as to meet the self-defined needs of every human being.'

Nigel McCullough


https://socialiststandardmyspace.blogspot.com/2022/08/what-happens-when-there-is-no-housing.html